
Originally Posted by
Atomini
This is very true. This is what is known as the logical fallacy post hoc ergo propter hoc, and we all must be careful not to fall into this! It is latin for "after this, therefore because of this". For those of you who don't understand, what it refers to is: "Since this event followed event 1, then event 2 must have been caused by the first".
I find a lot of people in the steroid-using community fall into this. It's also a severe case of jumping to conclusions far too quickly. Just because someone has endocrine disruptions at 28 years of age, and he happened to do a cycle when he is 17 years old, does not mean that you automatically assume that these disruptions are caused by his cycle from his teenage years. Though it is a likely possibility to be considered, you need more INVESTIGATION and EVIDENCE into the matter. Blood tests, questioning him about anything else he has used or done in the past as well as currently, etc. For all you know, if this hypothetical individual did NOT do a steroid cycle at 17 years of age, he might have still had an endocrine disruption at 28 due to a genetic mutation of some sort? There are many possibilities and 'what-ifs' that must be answered.
We don't know these things for certain, and it bothers me immensely when people here fall into the post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy, but the idea here is that we know AAS use during teenage years (and in general before the body's endocrine system is fully matured) is not good and has a high probability of presenting problems later on in life. Therefore, we want to minimize the likelihood of future damage by advising individuals not to cycle at too early of an age.
Once again, everybody... please do not fall into post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy, as it is very easy to do so concerning this subject.